Developing scenarios for the Norwegian travel industry 2025
Anniken Enger, Kare Sandvik, Endre Kildal Iversen

Informasi Umum

Kode

24.55.029

Klasifikasi

338.479 1 - Tourism

Jenis

e - Article Journal

Subjek

Tourism Industry

No. Rak

8b

Dilihat

8 kali

Informasi Lainnya

Abstraksi

Purpose The Norwegian travel industry faces decline in important international tourism segments and needs an industry wide and future?oriented strategy to face these challenges. Accordingly, a common understanding of future drivers and different scenarios for the industry is needed. The paper aims to discuss these issues.

Design/methodology/approach Using the process of scenario analysis and drawing upon the involvement of the tourism industry, this paper describes the method, drivers, scenarios, and implications.

Findings The research identified six important drivers with predictable outcomes: uneven global economic development, digitalization, climate change, consumer demand – return on time, centralization, and demography. The Norwegian economy and Norwegian politics were the two drivers that stood out as the most significant for the tourism industry, with a very uncertain outcome, and constituted the two axes of the scenarios. This resulted in four scenarios: Money Rules, The Urban Diamond, Opportunities for All, and Master Plan.

Practical implications The four scenarios represent different economic value of international tourism in Norway. The Opportunities for All and Master Plan scenarios represent the greatest economic value for Norwegian tourism. They indicate great opportunities for tourism to become the “new oil” in Norway if the oil economy declines. The two scenarios differ with respect to the degree of governance control vs market liberalization. The scenarios will be used to identify implications and risks for different parts of the tourism industry, and to further explore how governance control and market liberalization may be combined.

Originality/value The research identified six drivers which are significant for the Norwegian tourism industry. This resulted in four scenarios which are used to identify implications and risks for different parts of the industry.

Koleksi & Sirkulasi

Tersedia 1 dari total 1 Koleksi

Pengarang

Nama	Anniken Enger, Kare Sandvik, Endre Kildal Iversen
Jenis	Perorangan
Penyunting
Penerjemah

Penerbit

Nama	Emerald
Kota	New York
Tahun	2015

Sirkulasi

Harga sewa	IDR 0,00
Denda harian	IDR 0,00
Jenis	Non-Sirkulasi

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